Climate-Induced Migration and the Challenges of Food Insecurity in Nigeria

Main Article Content

Ramon Odunayo Odebunmi
Bright Adesida

Abstract

This study aims to examine climate-induced migration and the challenges of food insecurity in Nigeria. It also seeks to analyse further how climate-induced migration leads to food insecurity. Climate change has severe impacts on human survival and natural habitats, causing loss of soil fertility, habitat destruction, and natural disasters such as wildfires, cyclones, landslides, flooding, rising sea levels, and earthquakes. One negative effect of climate change is migration, which occurs as people flee extreme weather conditions. The main point of this paper is that climate-induced migration does not always result in food insecurity. However, this relationship is influenced by conflicts between farmers and pastoralists and by the limited capacity of the government to implement effective policies and programmes to resolve ongoing disputes between migrants and host communities. Persistent clashes between pastoralists and local communities continue to threaten food production in Nigeria, driven by recurring herdsmen attacks, kidnappings, and the victimisation of farmers. This study used a qualitative approach, relying on existing literature and datasets. It employs the Environmental Scarcity Theory and Securitisation Theory as its theoretical framework. The conclusion is that while food insecurity can be a consequence of climate-induced migration, this link is intensified by conflicts between pastoralists and farmers and the Nigerian government’s failure to address these disputes through effective policies that prevent resource conflicts between host communities and pastoralists.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Article Details

How to Cite
Odebunmi, R. O., & Adesida, B. (2025). Climate-Induced Migration and the Challenges of Food Insecurity in Nigeria. African Journal of Stability and Development (AJSD), 17(2), 1008–1035. https://doi.org/10.53982/ajsd.2025.1702.11-j
Section
Articles

References

Adejuwon, J., Tewogbade, K., Oguntoke, O., & Ufoebune, G. (2023). Comparing farmers’

perception of climate effect on cocoa yield with climate data in humid zone. Heliyon, 9 (12), e2155.

Adelaja, A., and George, J. (2019). Effects of conflict on agriculture: Evidence from the Boko Haram insurgency, World Development, 117, 184–195.

Adjei, I and Oyebamiji, O. (2024). Climate change impact on migration and food security: An existential threat in Africa. International Journal of Earth Sciences Knowledge and Applications, 6(1), 90-106.

Arnall, A. (2023). Climate change and security research: Conflict, securitisation and human

agency. PLOS Climate, 2(3), e0000072.

Arias, M.A., Ibánez, M., and A. Zambrano, A. (2019). Agricultural production amid conflict:

Separating the effects of conflict into shocks and uncertainty. World Development

, 165–184. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.11.011.

Ashley, J. (2016). Food security in developing world. Academic Press.

Baer, B. (2017). Food accessibility in the Tapacari Province of Bolivia. Journal of

International Development, 29(8), 1227-1232.

Barrett, C. (2010). Measuring food insecurity. Science, 327(5967), 825-828.

BBC (June 17, 2025). Benue killings: Timeline of attacks that have led to mass deaths for

central Nigeria in the last 60 days. Retrieved from https://www.bbc.com/pidgin/articles/cvg85vlgpm5o.amp.

Boas, I., and Warner, J. (2017). Securitisation of climate change: The risk of exaggeration. Sao Paulo, 20(3), 203-204.

Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N. W., Daron, S., Geddes, A. and Thomas, D. (2011). The

effect of environmental change on human migration’, Global Environmental Change, 21(1), 3–11.

Blattman, C., and Edward, M. 92010). Civil war. Journal of Economic Literature. American

Economic Association, 48(1), 3-57.

Burrows, K. and Kinney, P. L. (2016). Exploring the climate change, migration and conflict

nexus, International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 13(4), 443.

Castles, S., Ozkul, D., and Cubas, M. (2015). Social transformation and national migration:

national and local experiences in South Korea, Mexico, Turkey and Australia. Palgrave and Macmillan.

Doevenspeck, M. (2011). The thin line between choice and fight: Environment and migration

in rural Benin. International Migration, 49(S1), 191-205.

https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2435.2010.00632.

Ekoh, S., Teron, L., and Ajibade, I. (2023). Climate change and coastal megacities: Adapting

through mobility. Global Environmental Change, 80, 1-13.

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). (2002). Anti-Hunger Programme: Reducing

Hunger through sustainable agricultural and rural development and wider access to

food. Second Draft. FAO.

FAO (2025). Nigeria at a glance.

https://www.fao.org/nigeria/fao-in-nigeria/nigeria-at-glance/en/

Freeman, L. (2017). Environmental change, migration, and conflict in Africa: a critical

examination of the interconnections’, Journal of Environment and Development, 26(4), 351–374.

Ghimire, R., Ferreira, S. and Dorfman, J. H. (2015) ‘Flood-induced displacement and civil

conflict’, World Development, 66, 614–628.

Grundstrom, M. (2010). Under which conditions does environmental migration lead to conflict in receiving communities? The role of the state and the degree of conflict involvement. BSIS Journal of International Studies, 7, 1-25

Homer-Dixon, T. (1999). Environment security and violence. University of Princeton Press

Hugo, G. (2011). Future demographic change and its interactions with migration and climate

change. Global Environmental Change, 21S, S21–S33.

Jafri, A., Mathe, N., Aglago, E., Konyole, S., Ouedraogo, M., Audain, K., Zongo, U., Laar,

A.K., Johnson, J., & Sanou, D. (2021). Food availability, accessibility and dietary

practices during the COVID-19 pandemic: A multi-country survey. Public Health

Nutrition, 24(7), 1798–1805. https:// doi.org/10.1017/S1368980021000987.

Kah, H. (2017.). Boko Haram is losing, but so is food production: Conflict and food

insecurity in Nigeria and Cameroon. Africa Development, 42(3), 177–196.

Koubi, V. (2019). Climate change and conflict, Annual Review of Political Science, 22, 343–

Koubi, V., Nguyen, Q., Spilker, G. and Böhmelt, T. (2020). Environmental migrants and social movement participation’, Journal of Peace Research, 58(1), 18–32

Lian, J., Xu, H., Xu, K., & Ma, C. (2019). Optimal management of the flooding risk caused by the joint occurrence of extreme rainfall and high tide level in a coastal city, Natural Hazards, 89 (1), 183–200.

Martin-Shields, C.P., and Stojetz, M. (2019). “Food security and conflict: Empirical challenges and future opportunities for research and policy making on food security and conflict.” World Development 119, 150–164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.07.011

Nnajiofor, O.G., Ifeakor, C.S., & Mgbemena, S. (2013). Nigeria and the enigma of policy

implementation. Creative Art: A Journal of Theatre and Media Studies, 7(2), 224-241

Okoro, J.I. (2020). The mystery of policy implementation in Nigeria. International Journal of

Leadership, Policy and Management, 2(4), 704-712. Population and Environment, 95(4), 1-27.

Osei-Amponsah, C., Quarmine, W., and Okem, A. (2023). Understanding climate-induced

migration in West Africa through social transformation lens. Frontiers in Sociology, 8, 1-10.

Owolabi, O., Wong, K., Radovuch, E., Benova, L. 92018). Why not? Understanding spatial

clustering of private facility-based delivery and financial reasons for home births in

Nigeria. BMC Health Services Research, 18, 123-136.

Renaud, F. G., Dun, O., Warner, K., & Bogardi, J. (2011). A decision framework for

environmentally induced migration. International Migration, 49, e5–e29.

Raleigh, C. and Urdal, H. (2007) ‘Climate change, environmental degradation and armed

conflict, Political Geography, 26(6), 674–694.

Reuveny, R. (2007) ‘Climate change-induced migration and violent conflict’, Political

Geography, 26(6), 656–673.

Sasu, D. (2025). Agricultural area in Nigeria 1980-2022 by type.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1135880/agricultural-areas-in-nigeria/

Savelli, A., Schapendonk, F., Gupta, D., Pacillo, G., and Peter, L. (2023). Climate change,

mobility and violent conflict: A typology of interlinked pathways. International

Development Planning Review, 45(4), 404-436, https://doi.org/10.3828/idpr.2023.2/

Statista (2025). Key indicators of Nigeria’s economy-statistics and facts.

https://www.statista.com/topics/6440/key-indicators-of-nigeria-s-economy/#topicOverview

Su, Y., & Amrit, C. (2024). Literature review of food insecurity in the Sahel from an

interdisciplinary perspective, Journal of Decision Systems, 33, 400-412,

https://doi.org/10.1080/12460125.2024.2354640

Teye, K. and Nikoi, E. (2022). Climate-induced migration in West Africa. IMSCOE Research

Series. https://doi.org/10.007/978-3-030-97322-3_5.

Thalheimer, L., Otto, F. and Abele, S. (2021) Deciphering impacts and human responses to

a changing climate in East Africa, Frontiers in Climate.

https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2021.692114.

Van Der Geest, K., Vrieling, A., & Dietz, T. (2010). Migration and environment in Ghana: A

cross-district analysis of human mobility and vegetation dynamics. International

Institute for Environment and Development (IIED), 22(1), 107–124.

https://doi.org/10.1177/0956247809362842.

Vinke, K., Rottmann, S., Gornott, C., Zabre, P., Nyana, P., Suerborn, N. (2022). Is migration

an effective adaptation to climate-related agricultural distress in sub-Saharan Africa?

World Food Programme. (2022). Global report on food crises - 2022.

https://www.wfp.org/publications/global-report-food-crises-2022.

Xu, K., Zhuang, L., Wang, C., & Tian, F. (2023). Impact assessment of climate change on

compound flooding in a coastal city. Journal of Hydrology, 617, pp.1-15.